An event-driven strategy is a way of investing that looks at specific corporate or regulatory events — things that can suddenly change a company’s value. Instead of trying to guess general market trends, the focus is on opportunities that come from very concrete events: a merger being announced, a regulator opening an investigation, or a market study that could reshape an industry.
For example, if two large companies announce a merger, their share prices usually move in different directions depending on how likely the deal is to be approved by antitrust regulators. Investors who can anticipate those regulatory outcomes before the broader market reacts may capture attractive returns.
In the chart below, you can see how Kellanova’s stock reacted after favorable news from the regulator. Based on our analysis, we anticipated that the merger review would be positive. That allowed us to take a position days before the market reacted — and capture a +6% gain in just one week. But this is just one example. In other situations, we gained +10% or +20% in just a few weeks.
Traditionally, this type of strategy has been the domain of hedge funds and institutional investors, because it requires not just financial knowledge, but also deep understanding of regulation, competition law, and how authorities like the European Commission or the UK’s CMA make decisions. The skills needed are highly technical and out of reach for most retail investors.
That’s where this subscription comes in. By focusing specifically on antitrust events — mergers and acquisitions, investigations, and market studies — you’ll get insight into situations that can create real investment opportunities. It’s not about following the latest hype or guessing where the market might go; it’s about interpreting and predicting the regulatory outcome that very often is containing the value of a stock.
